Chapter 329 Planning Commission Report

Sitting in the small conference hall of the Planning Commission, Su Cheng silently looked around at nearly 100 young cadres of the Planning Commission under the stage.

In terms of the political structure of the [China] country, these young people have almost stood on the runway of the innermost ring, which is equivalent to the ancient two-class Jinshi and the three-class Jinshi. Once the opportunity is right, it may be possible to worship, and the probability of becoming a senior official of the ministry is quite high.

For such a group of proud children, it is very difficult for them to collectively admire someone. On the contrary, proud people will treat their superiors with a more critical attitude, just like ancient sergeants.

Su Cheng gently took off the watch and put it in the upper left corner of the table to remind him of the time to make a report.

There is a date on the top left of the watch, reflecting the small words of November 14.

When the second hand reached the direction of 0 o'clock, Su Cheng coughed gently and said, "The report I made today is about the status of the country under the new situation. First of all, I want to talk about the Soviet Union. Why did the republics along the Baltic Sea coast become independent in the first? I think there is a tendency to cause centrifugation. The republics, especially the rich republics, believe that they have contributed more to the Soviet Union than the Soviet Union gave them. On this issue, they will not consider the past of Stalin helping them build many factories... The current Soviet Union is caught in such a rhythm. When the republics cannot solve the problem by themselves, they will blame the whole Soviet Union, but if a republic does well in some way, it will only It belongs to this republic. The same problem actually appears within the state-owned enterprises of the [China] country, or localities, or ministries..."

Since Sucheng has boarded the Zhongnan shortcut, he will do it seriously. This report was written by him who synthesizes the trend he knows, and then ordered more than a dozen people from the Dahua Strategy Department to write based on the existing research content, referring to public publications at home and abroad.

The correct argument and perfect argument are composed of a self-contained architecture, and the conference room quickly quieted down.

When Su Cheng said that "political struggles, ethnic issues and social issues led to the disintegration of the Soviet Union", many people nodded frequently.

The Planning Commission is a designer of the [China] country, and its young people are also full of self-confidence. Naturally, they have their own thoughts on real world problems. But after listening to the report of Su Cheng, many people's thoughts are clear.

Sucheng is a standard horse-back strategy. Push forward, know that the Soviet Union is going to collapse, find the reason, know that the Soviet Union wants to be privatized, find arguments...

This practice is natural, smooth and clear.

Someone immediately raised their hand to ask questions.

Su Cheng saw it and stopped with his hand and said, "What I'm talking about today is not the theory of the reason why the Soviet Union solves the problem. Now it's just a prelude, and questions are not accepted for the time being. Next, I want to talk about the status of the country. What can we get and how to do it in the disintegration of the Soviet Union?

He picked up the glass and drank it. Shui found that a group of people were all staring at themselves, which was no different from the workers in the Dahua factory.

Without the aura of identity, the young people of the Planning Commission are just young people.

While sighing, Su Cheng slowly said, "Since the disintegration of the Soviet Union cannot be stopped, we should make more use of the good side and avoid the bad side. The good thing is that the collapse of the Soviet Union will destroy its own industrial survival and thus release the industrial capacity of the [China] country. Some people can exchange hundreds of light goods for planes, and some people make a fortune by being a master. This barter trading method can indeed make a lot of money, but what I want to say is that the collapsed Soviet industry will form a huge demand market, which can greatly increase China's exports.

"The ruble is worthless, but it's very troublesome to trade in barter. I know that the contract that can't be fulfilled is a big trouble." Finally, someone below couldn't help talking, and the voice of approval sounded at the same time.

Su Cheng nodded slightly and said, "We can provide loans to the Soviet Union. In the name of the government, we can provide loans specifically to the Soviet Union to buy our industrial products, just like the Marshall Plan after World War II.

On the one hand, we gain international morality, and on the other hand, we also have actual profits.

"How do profits arise? Our country's own foreign exchange is not enough."

"We don't need the country to use foreign exchange. In fact, we only need to start a name, and we don't even need to pay much money." With everyone's surprised face, Su Cheng took out his plan that had been brewing for a long time and said, "We first apply for a loan from the Soviet Bank, the Russian Bank or other state banks of the member republics in the name of a bank. Then, with a higher loan interest, the money is lent to the Soviets, asking them to use the money to buy [China] national products. In fact, there is no need to pay for it, as long as the [China] country pays in RMB to buy [China] goods, and then settle them in rubles.

Now, not only the young people of the Planning Commission, but also the leaders sitting in the back were stunned.

Compared with usual, the financial operation mentioned by Su Cheng is actually more profound. For example, isn't it the cost of the [China] Chinese products purchased by China with RMB? In fact, for a French-currency country like [China], the cost of the RMB itself is very limited. With this means, in the long term, it is absolutely profitable, even exceeding the short-term express line. But the disadvantage is that it can't be realized quickly. It takes 10 years or even longer to make excess profits. But it is the most suitable for the country.

Most of the staff of the Planning Commission have the corresponding financial understanding ability, and Su Cheng doesn't need to explain too much. He continued to say to the leaders: "The problem of the Soviet Union is not the lack of money, but that the ruble has lost credibility and people have lost confidence to use it. Therefore, as long as we have [real] things to buy to the Soviet Union, they don't care about the loan to us. Because they produce the ruble, and we also have the ruble. This is just an empty-to-air number game. On this basis, the price of our products can be higher, the interest rate of loans from the Soviet Union can be lower, and the interest rate of loans to Soviet merchants can be higher.

The ideas put forward by Su Cheng have actually been used for a long time. Modern Russian consortia basically rose in the financial turmoil of about 10 years. They made a lot of profits through this kind of empty-handed white wolf.

For people who are snapping up Soviet assets, it doesn't matter how much the loan interest is. As long as you can get a loan to buy a factory, it will be better. However, the state-owned banks in the Soviet Union did not dare to lend easily, so they went through the intermediary channels of private banks to complete the payment of the entire financial system.

By 1991, the interest rate of Soviet state-owned banks had risen to 100%, but the interest rate of commercial banks was more exaggerated to 200%. What's more, the money of commercial banks was borrowed from Soviet state-owned banks.

That is to say, no matter how the ruble falls, commercial banks have to make at least 100% profit. 1 million rubles makes 1 million rubles, and 10 billion rubles makes 10 billion rubles.

In the end, inflation can only determine the problem of making more and less. No matter how much its value changes, the extra 100% cannot be eliminated.

It can be said that commercial banks exchange risks for money, while state-owned banks have to reduce risks in order to maintain the domestic financial system...

Sioux City is more willing to use financial means to collect money than to make a large-scale purchase in the Soviet Union. This method is not obvious, but the profit is definitely more than 100 industrial companies.

Next, someone asked, "The current Soviet economy is not good. What if the loan can't be repaid?"

"We use mortgages as collateral at the current price. If the other party can't repay the loan, we will confiscate the collateral. What Su Cheng said was very natural.

Xie Weiwei was stunned and said, "This is too cruel. Isn't the current price of collateral reduced by dozens of times?"

Houses, land and factories in the Soviet Union have greatly reduced their prices, and some of them are worthless. Of course, the mortgage should be mortgaged at the price of the loan, which may be only 10% of the peak price.

The reason why most Soviets applied for loans was to buy their own factories, real estate and other means of production, and their purchase price was often only a few percent of the actual value. Nevertheless, because the Soviet Union did not allow foreigners to buy these assets directly, obtaining them through mortgages has become an important part of the privatization process after the collapse of the Soviet Union.

As a bank, if it releases a large number of mortgages, there will definitely be some loans that cannot be recovered for various reasons. Therefore, obtaining collateral is inevitable, and the profit in this regard alone can make up for the value of domestic light industrial products.

Those present are all people who have been planning for the country all year round, and they often think deeply about things.

Xie Weiwei was surprised to find that Su Cheng's plan was linked one by one. She couldn't help but feel a trace of understanding. Su Cheng's planning of this idea was definitely not temporary. Thinking of this, she stood up and asked, "Soviet banks are too busy to take care of themselves. If they really disintegrate, they are expected to collapse. In this case, I'm afraid we can't borrow money."

Su Cheng looked at his watch and said, "According to my analysis, Yeltsin will soon announce the takeover of the financial power that originally belonged to the Central Committee of China, and the Central Bank of Russia will take over the State Bank of the Soviet Union. It is estimated that it has been formulated and will be released at any time. According to the time, it will happen within this month, maybe in the last few days.

This is inferred from Dahua's strategic business department according to the conditions formulated by Sucheng. If the Soviet Union disintegrates at the end of December, the same is true. Russia, as the main body, must take over the financial power at least one month in advance. Otherwise, Russia, as the main body of the state, will not be able to operate. Just like the Soviet Union as a national theme, if it is deprived of its fiscal and financial rights, it will not be able to operate.

Hearing this, Director Lu couldn't help but say, "That's all for today, Mr. Su. The question you mentioned is thought-provoking. Please give us a time to think about it."

Now everyone knows that Sucheng doesn't really want to report to young people. He goes straight to heaven in the form of reports. Moreover, after being filtered by the Planning Commission in advance, the gold content of this report has also been greatly improved.

He Tao, who was also born in 1987, sighed gently and thought: If Su Cheng's opinion is valued by the leaders, his right to speak in the international situation in the future will be very different.

... (To be continued