Chapter 719 Ah, the trouble caused by oil

After Colonel Ding Huiqiang, the military attaché of the Chinese Embassy in Somalia, came to the familiar villa again, he saw a man in simple clothes under the shade of the garden of the villa, carrying one on his shoulder and holding one in his hand.

He smiled secretly. Even if Li Mo was outside, he was a leader who controlled tens of thousands of modern armies and a famous late hawk in the world. When he returned home, he was just like an ordinary person, an ordinary father!

"Oh, how dare you hold my ear..." Li Mo put down his son on his shoulder with his backhand. He was about to show the prestige of the head of the family. When he taught his son a lesson, he saw Ding Huiqiang coming under the guidance of Xiao Liu, and quickly stopped talking.

Liu Qingyue and Li Yanran, who were chatting under the tree not far away, immediately trotted over, took the child and walked aside.

At this time, Li Mo has to talk about business!

"Ding military officer is here! Sit down!" Li Mo asked someone to bring two chairs to receive Ding Huiqiang in this garden.

Ding Huiqiang nodded with a smile and said, "Seeing the scene just now, anyone will drop their chin. Commander Li is like an ordinary person at home."

Li Mo smiled, shook his head slightly and sighed, "I'm an ordinary person, but I'm just a little more lucky and brave than ordinary people."

"Well, let's not go to Wen Xuan. Why did you come here in person this time?"

Under the shade of the trees, the breeze blows. A small table, two chairs, and a plate of fruit. People who don't know think it's a pastoral life under the east fence of chrysanthemum picking, but they don't know that the two really represent the secret talks between the two countries.

"This is also for the disturbance on the border between Ethiopia and Somalia." Ding Huiqiang was not pretentious and said directly.

When Li Mo heard the words, he looked like this. He looked solemn and said, "I don't know what it means in China?"

Li Mo did not ask Huaxia how to support Somalia in this border disturbance, but directly asked Huaxia's attitude. The two seem to be the same, but in fact they have completely different meanings. The former is that Huaxia must be on the side of Somalia, and the latter is that Huaxia's attitude is not clear. Li Mo can't figure out Huaxia's attitude now.

Although his relationship with China has returned to normal, the two sides are strengthening cooperation, but the relationship between countries, not three or two cooperation or 'friendship' can determine everything. In the current rapidly changing international situation, except for the general direction, the national strategy will not change easily, but other specific foreign policies will change with the change of the situation.

Li Mo's attitude towards Huaxia in this matter is not without reason. Because the relationship between China and Ethiopia is still very good. The most important thing is that China has just completed the change of leadership, and the new leadership is now sorting out the domestic relations. In terms of diplomacy, they are basically conservative and will not easily squeeze into the diplomatic turmoil.

When Ding Huiqiang heard Li Mo's inquiry, he had to give a thumbs up and smiled, "You are really awesome. I know that I'm actually a lobbyist this time."

Then Ding Huiqiang took out a document from his briefcase and solemnly handed it to Li Mo.

Looking at the steel seal of 'top secret' on the file bag, Li Mo couldn't help but look solemn. After opening the documents inside, Li Mo frowned slightly.

This is not anything else, but a piece of information about the Essop border disturbance. Li Mo inferred that it should be the inside story of Ethiopia's provocation at the border obtained by China's intelligence department, and some information is even more detailed and accurate than the information provided by Wang Ning's intelligence department.

For example, in the intelligence of China, there is a piece of information about the French political family, the Castel family, pointing out that the French political axe is not completely involved in the Essop border disturbance this time, but because the Castel family has affected the high level of Ethiopia's political axe through its own relationship. The specific content It is not in the newspaper, but the intelligence speculates that it should be related to economic assistance. The Castel family has a great influence in the French political axe and has a certain voice in foreign economic assistance.

In this intelligence, there is no mention of Japan and the United States, but another country, Saudi Arabia.

Li Mo's real suspicion is here. He doesn't understand why Saudi Arabia is involved in the affairs against Somalia. Li Moke has never offended Saudi Arabia.

But the information about Saudi Arabia in the intelligence is very few, which can't provide an important basis for Li Mo's analysis at all.

"What's wrong with this Saudi Arabia?" Li Mo had to ask. Please don't have it in the newspaper. It doesn't mean that Huaxia is not clear. Maybe it's because of taboos, or maybe it's waiting for Li Mo to speak.

Ding Huiqiang looked around and seemed to be alert to something. Then she smiled and felt that she was making a fuss. This is Li Mo's home, and the agents who can lurk and monitor here have not yet appeared.

"Oil!"

The short words

have explained many mysteries.

Li Mo's mind turned quickly and soon understood that the reason why Saudi Arabia was behind the scenes was the price of oil.

Because of the emergence of the Third OECD, international crude oil prices have risen slightly, which is extremely beneficial to all the world's net oil exporters. If the price is high, the profit will naturally increase.

Saudi Arabia, as one of the founding countries of OPEC, has its own responsibility to maintain international oil prices. When international oil prices rise 'harmful', OPEC members will increase oil production and stabilize oil prices. Once international oil prices fall, OPEC will reduce petroleum products in due course.

OPEC currently has 12 member countries, namely Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Iran, Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates, Libya, Armenia, Algeria, Venezuela, Angola, Qatar and Ecuador. In addition, there are also exiting member countries: Indonesia and Gabon.

At the beginning, OPEC was founded to ensure the interests of net oil-producing countries. And by controlling oil production and oil prices, we can fight against oil exploitation and plunder in Western countries. It can be said that in essence, OPEC members have an important weapon - oil.

Weapons can not only protect themselves and kill enemies, but also be used to maintain world peace. Of course, it is hard to say whether there are really second-purpose weapons in the world.

The essence of OPEC members is the same. It is false to safeguard the interests of oil-consuming countries. The interests of the country are supreme. No one can really use cheap oil for the world's countries and people, and reduce oil prices with sympathy.

You should know that oil resources are limited. The economic pillar of these oil member countries is oil. Once the oil resources are exhausted, how these countries will develop will become a problem. Under the premise of this 'end of the future', what OPEC member countries need to do is to pass Oil seeks more benefits. Both political and economic interests are valued and needed by these countries.

Keeping the national oil price rising slightly at ordinary times, OPEC is not really kind-hearted, but needs to seek other benefits for itself by maintaining stable oil prices.

Saudi Arabia is a senior in OPEC. It has 22% of the world's oil reserves. It is the country with the world's largest oil reserves, and even exceeds the sum of the second and third countries. In OPEC, Saudi Arabia has a great voice, because behind it is the support of the United States, which plays an 'partic role' in maintaining international oil prices.

But doesn't Saudi Arabia really want international oil prices to rise sharply? The crazy rise is definitely not to be seen, because there is only one result: war!

At present, the average international oil price is $80 per barrel, which is not ideal for many net oil exports and does not meet the current world's demand for oil resources.

100 USD/barrel may be a good figure, but Saudi Arabia itself cannot take the initiative to raise oil prices or reduce production, because Saudi Arabia cannot bear the resulting political pressure.

How to pull yourself out and make international oil prices rise to a number that will not cause war has become the focus of research and analysis by Saudi oil princes and nobles.

The confrontation between the Third OECD and Europe and the United States has reached the limit of 6%, that is to say, unless there is a direct large-scale military conflict between the United States and the Third OECD, the confrontation between the two sides has exhausted the potential to promote international oil prices. Others are not fools, and there is no oil production. In the case of reduction, no one will be willing to act as a wrongdoer to take the initiative to raise oil prices.

Saudi Arabia secretly contributed to the flames behind Ethiopia this time, whose purpose was obvious, triggering conflicts and even wars in East Africa.

Ethiopia and Somalia both have oil resources, which are almost negligible in international oil trade, but the location of the two countries is close to the Middle East. The war between the two countries must have a great impact on international oil prices.

And no one can ignore that behind Somalia stands the Third OECD. Iran and Libya are both OPEC members. Angola and Somalia are also important partners. Venezuela is said to be seeking to join the Third OECD.

With the influence of these countries, the Essor border conflict or war will certainly have a great impact on international oil prices. With the rise of oil prices, Saudi oil princes and nobles will naturally get more benefits. You can hide at home and count more money than ever before. Why not?

Saudi Arabia's oil exports are 20-30 million barrels per day. For every dollar the oil price rises, Saudi Arabia earns an extra two or three million dollars a day. The huge interest is worth the risk of Saudi Arabia. Moreover, the two national wars that are neither OPEC members nor net oil exporters are also limited in the promotion of international oil prices.

As long as it is added to the flames at the beginning, it can bring hundreds of millions of dollars or more benefits to Saudi Arabia, prompting it to take risks.

Besides, doing some small actions behind the scenes this time will not cause the dissatisfaction of Western countries. Everyone knows that Somalia is anti-American, and the United States can't wait for someone to teach Somalia a lesson when they can't free their hands.

Saudi Arabia's oil traffickers can be said to have exhausted their calculations.

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(to be continued)