Chapter 841 Contradiction
"Boss, good news." Wang Ning strode into Li Mo's office and said happily, "There was a riot in Tunisia last night. We analyzed that this is the beginning of the color revolution, and soon the storm will sweep the whole of Tunisia and even affect the surrounding countries."
The color revolution, also known as the flower revolution, is a regime change movement carried out in a peaceful and non-violent manner. Most of these activities with obvious political demands take place in multi-party countries, with opposition parties as the main body. Through social mobilization, they lead to social unrest and antagonism, causing great pressure on the ruling parties. And behind this kind of movement, there are often foreign forces behind it.
This is another movement that changed the main body of the regime in addition to the military coup at the beginning of the 21st century. Such as the Rose Revolution in Grunia, the Chestnut Revolution in Ukraine, the Tulip Revolution in Kyrgyzstan, etc.
And why is Wang Ning happy after getting the color revolution in Tunisia? It is mainly because of the imminent conflict in the North Africa-Arab region, which has long been concerned by intelligence agencies, broke out too timely.
The Somali navy has just detained the crew of American cargo ships and cargo ships. At this time, it is not the time to shine internationally, but to immediately divert international attention. Because both Li Mo and Wang Ning know that they should take a degree of provocation and retaliation against the United States, otherwise they will really seek their own death.
It is said that Somalia and the United States are like eggs and stones, and they are humble and not underestimate themselves, but it is true. It can be said that Somalia now has nothing to praise except that it has nuclear weapons that make other countries afraid and will not easily use force against Somalia.
Such a huge gap in strength contrast has prompted Li Mo to not surpass the other party's bottom line while retaliating against the United States.
In any country, the dignity of the political axe, that is, the so-called face, is very important. Somalia openly detains American cargo ships in the Gulf of Aden. In the eyes of many people, it is the face of the American political axe. If the international focus is on the United States and Somalia, it is bound to lead to unfavorable negotiations between the two sides. One party got out of control, causing the situation to deteriorate.
Li Mo wants to retaliate against the United States, but he doesn't want to really offend the direct military conflict and confrontation in the United States. Therefore, at this time, it is very important to divert international attention and reduce the pressure on both sides, especially the United States.
Tunisia's color revolution is a very important international event, because it is not only Li Mo. Those major powers have more advantages than Somalia in the analysis of the international situation. They have a complete and excellent think tank, and they can recruit hundreds of relevant experts to analyze a certain matter at any time. Get the desired data.
And this color revolution in Tunisia, North Africa, is likely to spread to other countries and regions. In North Africa, there are still several countries with social instability and regimes similar to Tunisia, such as Libya and Egypt.
Once this color revolution sweeps through these countries, the impact will even spread from one region to a part of the earth, and the final impact will even be the global surname. When the international financial environment is sluggish, if there is political and social unrest in some areas, the effects will be more serious than a local conflict. Because the consequences of the conflict are intuitive and predictable, but once this kind of political movement spreads, it will not affect a few people.
Li Mo took the information submitted by Wang Ning and looked at it carefully. The content above was very detailed, and even had the detailed information of the fruit peddler who triggered the color revolution. Seeing the "outstanding" role played by 'city management' in this storm, Li Mo couldn't help but think of China. In his opinion, in fact, China has similar hidden dangers. However, compared with Tunisia, China has a vast territory and a large population. In addition, it is in a period of economic development, and many hidden dangers are covered by the momentum of economic rise. It's covered.
Forget it, Li Mo shook his head and secretly said that he was really blind.
"What's the situation in Tunisia now?" Li Mo finished reading the information. The content was all before last night. Now that more than ten hours have passed, the situation must have changed again.
"Although the situation is not very good, it is still under the control of the political axe at present, but according to the analysis of intelligence personnel in Tunisia, the political axe in Tunisia is not prepared for this color revolution, especially those in power? President Ali seems to take the hawker this time. The burning incident was a common emergency. When the political axe dealt with the wave of people's lawsuits and protests, the reaction was rigid and rigid. It did not directly analyze the cause and estimate the consequences of the incident. The Tunisian interior department even used police force to disperse the protesting people. So far, it has broken out between the two sides. There were many direct clashes, injuring at least a dozen people. But so far, no casualties have been reported.
After receiving the report from the Tunisian intelligence station. Start paying attention to it immediately. Because he has heard many times from his boss about the possible changes in the situation in some countries in North Africa. Not to mention that Somalia is also a North African country. Any turmoil in the countries in North Africa may have an impact on Somalia, that is, Libya, an important ally of Somalia. The social situation is very unstable. It can be said that it is also a volcano that is about to erupt. It is impossible for Somalia to watch a confrontation with the United States. The country's firm ally was disintegrated by means of 'conspiracy'.
"What about other countries? Has the social situation in Libya and Egypt been affected? In fact, this is what Li Mo is most concerned about. The turmoil in Tunisia will not make Li Mo care too much, but once this 'color revolution' spreads from the CIS and the Central Asian countries to the Arab countries, the consequences will be disaster. Because several allies in Somalia have some or even all of the conditions for the outbreak of a color revolution.
Wang Ning paused and replied, "At present, other countries around Tunisia have not been affected and affected by this matter, but it is confirmed that Libya's political axe has strengthened the monitoring of lower-level instability and opposition parties. In some areas where conflicts may break out and be used by other forces, the Libyan Revolutionary Guard It also strengthens vigilance and defense, and can directly intervene in any emergency at any time. In Egypt, because the situation in Tunisia is unclear, and the time of the incident is too short, and many people and organizations are not prepared, the situation in these countries is still stable at present. However, I estimate that the success of the Tunisian color revolution will certainly become an example for other similar countries.
Unless it is directly involved in the Tunisian color revolution or has been prepared for a long time ago, it is impossible for other people and organizations to have information from national intelligence agencies.
Li Mo nodded silently, stood up and paced back and forth with his hands behind his back. He is now worried about whether Gaddafi can stabilize the situation in Libya in the upcoming storm.
In Li Mo's mind, Libya is more important than North Korea and Syria, all because of the existence of Gaddafi in Libya, a completely anti-Western reader. Syria, since it was seduced by the United States and France last time, has begun to sway, which made Li Mo dare not compliment and feel that Bashar's political position is not very firm. Although politics is essentially principleless, if there are principles, then there is only one core of this principle - interests. But Bashar is often influenced by the little interests of the outside world and ignores the overall situation. This is different from other countries. Countries such as Iran, North Korea and Somalia have been basically united since they were united. Although they have not reached the point of handing over to you, no one will easily change their position without the interests of the sky. But last time, Bashar was indecisive just for an illusory promise, which made Li Mo worried.
Libya is different. Libya's real leader Gaddafi's position is relatively firm. Within the Third Economic Organization, Libya, leaving aside the oil economy, is the weakest among the third member countries, but this weakest country is not easily deceived by foreign forces. He understands that for Western capitalists, any promise is unassured. They only have interests in their eyes, and they are very greedy. Once they are put into the 'hug' of the West, everything in Libya will soon be controlled by the West and become a puppet. On the other hand, the Third OECD is different. The Third Economic Organization is now facing strong pressure from the Western world. At this time, no one will think of tapping the foundation of allies, but will try their best to strengthen their allies. Therefore, it is most beneficial for Libya to make friends with the third OECD member states at the present and in the next period.
Follow the West. Libya has no future. Follow the Third OECD. For a long time, Libya can get benefits. Everyone knows how to choose.
What Li Mo is worried about is that such a 'firm and reliable' ally will be caught off guard by this soon-to-blow color revolution storm. Under the alliance of foreign forces and internal opposition, he will lose control of the Libyan situation, and finally elevate the internal contradictions in Libya to an international contradiction, attracting external forces. With the direct intervention of force, at that time, the Third OECD could not directly confront the Western world. This is what no one wants to see.
"Is there any movement on the third fast counter-force?" Li Mo stopped, cigaretteted a cigarette and asked Wang Ning.
"There is no news for the time being, but the third fast reaction force is stationed in Bengazi, which is the nest of the Libyan opposition. Originally, in the eastern part of Libya, Gaddafi's actual control was extremely weak, but for more than a year, Gaddafi is changing this situation, including the fast opposition. In the team, there are several armed forces loyal to Gaddafi, which are enough to deal with emergencies.
Li Mo thought for a while and finally let go of half of his suspense. Now he can't directly help Gaddafi. He can only pray that Gaddafi's decades of rule can let him continue to control and stabilize the situation in Libya.
"The American ship will arrive at the port of Berbera today, right? How do the Americans react? As soon as Li Mo's words changed, he smelled another important thing.
(to be continued)