Chapter 163 Observation Report
The Chinese Empire is a very strange country.
A observer will feel a lot of contradictions as soon as he arrives. Ancient China still exists - medieval buildings, unique rural clothes, clean big cities, order, good temper, neat, bright scenery, and comfortable people. However, there is another new and very different thing: the rule of the empire.
In the past ten years, the rule of the empire has been changing this ancient oriental country little by little. However, although the rule of the empire is changing this country, the changes it brings are a problem that cannot be ignored.
Indeed, in the past few years, a series of upheavals have taken place in this country. However, what is hidden behind these appearances? Is it a strong potential to start a war? Or is it probably just a superficial change?At the U.S. Embassy in China, Marshall, a [***] official who has just arrived, is meditating while writing this report submitted to China. This may be a preliminary impression of China by an American [***] official who has been in China for a month and has been trying to truly understand China.
"As we all know, since 1981, after launching a revolutionary national uprising, China once developed its armaments at all costs. It was this series of efforts that enabled them to defeat them in the conflict, and then they unexpectedly began to stop expanding their armaments. It is maritime armaments, and now it is even armed on a large scale with the determination to make up for years of losses.
Compared with the past, its general power is different from that disguised as peace on the surface. In the past three years, China's re-armed operations have been intensified and completely publicized. After long-term arms restrictions, it is extremely surprising to re-establish a fully armed China. But now the question is: to what extent has this gap been caught up by Hitler? Building a modern combat force is a large-scale industrial process. It needs material, manpower and time, no matter what kind of boastful announcements Chinese politicians make.
Based on the facts I have collected, I can draw two interesting preliminary conclusions:
1. At least in the next few years, the Chinese Empire has not narrowed the gap to a fleet that can compete with the British navy.
2. Compared with the navy, its army construction has been strengthened to some extent over the past few years.
The bottom five pages include the figures of China's factory production, industrial expansion, and machine and material production in the past decade - very different from the many intelligence reports that Marshall read when he first came to China. His information mainly comes from his own reading and exploration. He compared the total national production of the United States, the United Kingdom and China in the past decade, as well as the strength of the army, navy and air force. These figures - listed in other rows - indicate that except for the army and air forces, they are at a disadvantage in combat in all aspects, and they have not stepped up industrial production to catch up.Then it comes to the most important part of the report. During this period, Marshall stopped many times. After typing, he read the text several times worriedly.
The following is a prediction, so it may also be considered reckless or have the taste of a journalist. However, Marshall's impression strongly pointed to a possible surname, and it seemed necessary to write this judgment in this report. All signs show to the world that the Chinese Empire is currently actively preparing a military operation aimed at Russia.
As an argument in support of this view, it is that more than 300 army divisions have been assembled in the three directions of northeast China, Mongolia and Xinjiang Province, which is an unprecedented assembly. In the north of Yilang, there are also more than 20 Chinese army divisions. It can be said that China has been under the appearance of "assistance to Russia". Complete the preparation of the army.
More importantly, Chinese public opinion has continuously attacked the Russian temporary political axe since the outbreak of the revolution in Russia. Although China has admitted the temporary political axe, he also quoted a senior officer in the report as a command post in the army staff:
"Pay attention to Russia. There will be some movement over there soon."
More importantly, in the past year, by participating in the transformation and construction of the Siberian Railway and the Central Asian Railway, the Chinese have fully mastered the two railways, at least in the event of future conflicts with Russia, they can ensure that they can quickly control the two railways.
Although Marshall also admitted that all this collection is neither conclusive information nor enough to attract the attention of embassy professional diplomats. They said that there are always rumors of sudden changes in drama surnames. They insist on the basic facts - for China, a chaotic and revolutionary and turbulent Russia is far better than a stable and steaming Russia. No matter how close China and Russia are in this war, in the end, due to their geographical reasons, there will still be new conflicts. Resist.
As for the possibility that China may send troops to Russia, in the eyes of the professional diplomats of the embassy, there is no possibility of surnames, because China is a member of the Allies. At least when Russia is still a member of the Allies, China will never take the risk of war with the Allies and declare war on Russia.
But even if he understands these truths, Marshall still believes that such an action not only makes sense, but also inevitable. China has invested too many troops in the north, and now China has no intention of sending expeditionary forces to Russia before Russia's political situation restores stability. Even the so-called East Asian Expeditionary Force has stopped sending them. In this case, China is still constantly dispatching supplies to all parts of the Sino-Russian border.
According to the current intelligence, it shows that China has arranged more than 100 military stations in the railway area along the Sino-Russian border, each of which is stored with a large number of military supplies, which are enough to carry out a large-scale and future war, and its material reserves are still increasing.
"And the most fundamental reason why I firmly believe that China is likely to send troops to intervene in Russia is that the marriage between the daughter of the last Tsar Michael II, who was assassinated in Russia, and the crown prince of China makes China convinced that it has a good reason to interfere in the political situation in Russia. Of course, this It's speculation!"
But then, Marshall argued that he gave many examples from a large number of history books he had recently read, and this kind of events with the help of in-laws to promote their own right to inherit the regime in times of turmoil are countless in history. If China uses this The reason is that the invasion of Russia, based on the current situation of Russia, is likely to lead to the complete collapse of a country.
"In a word, the current temporary political axe does not have the ability to stop the invasion of the [***] team at all. Even in the years after the end of the war, Russia does not have enough ability to stop the Chinese invasion... In order to avoid all this, the United States must prepare as soon as possible to avoid being caught off guard by the world. And!"
After writing the report, Marshall tore up the copy paper and threw it into the paper basket, put the original and two copies of the report in his shirt, and fell asleep on the red lounge chair. But after sleeping for a while, he slept uneasily. When he opened his eyes wide, the sun was shining into the faint glow from the treetops.
As usual, Marshall first took a shower, then changed his clothes, read the report again, and then put the report into the safe. This report was not something that he, a junior military officer, could submit to the White House. He had to wait for the right opportunity.
Because there was nothing in the embassy, Marshall left the embassy as usual, and then the embassy area walked towards Guangfu Street. Along the way, he was still thinking about the document. Compared with the embassy report he had studied, his presumptuous discussion of a comprehensive strategy far exceeded his ability and position, and it was for this reason that it was impossible for him to submit the report directly to the White House.
But on the other hand, he felt that he wrote it based on facts. He felt that as an officer stationed abroad, he had sufficient reasons and responsibilities to write such a technical surname report, and he also planned to write a new report, which was a comprehensive analysis of China's war potential. Of course, although he knew that he had This responsibility is to write, but he does not realize that he has enough power to submit his report to the White House.
"Maybe we can find another channel!"
Just as he was thinking about it, he had approached the Avenue of Restoration, which is still the most spacious and longest street in the world. In the past years, there have been countless proposals to change the name of this street, such as changing it to the name of "Imperial Avenue", but in the end, all the proposals It was rejected by the emperor who changed the country, and the reason why he vetoed the name was very simple, just like those who asked for the name change.
The name Guangfu Street can remind every Chinese that they will not forget a history - the history of China's colonial slavery, and the fact that the civil strife of the country led to the destruction of the Ming Empire and the near extinction of the Han people and the collapse of culture. It is also at his insistence that Guangfu Street is still the same. Guangfu Street, to some extent, everything here symbolizes the tragic history and historical honor that the country has suffered. Whether it is the sculptures of the sons on both sides of the street or the sculptures of soldiers, it reminds people to pay attention to this point all the time.
When I walked to the corner of the street, there was a street garden at the corner of the street, and in the street garden stood a statue. It was a statue of an unknown soldier. There was a ragged soldier on the granite statue. The soldier on the statue was obviously injured, but his hands were holding the steps. The gun looked extremely resolute, and his eyes were extremely firm. It seemed that the injury could not stop his attack.
More than 600 military-themed statues like this have been built in Nanjing alone. In China, military statues can be seen in almost every city and every park. Most of those statues are monuments awarded to a certain outstanding soldier approved by the emperor. Of course, more But it is a statue of an unknown soldier.
It can be said that these military statues can be seen in almost every corner of China, and the most fundamental reason why so many military statues were built is to remind the Chinese people to pay attention to the establishment of the Chinese Empire. It is through the sacrifice of these soldiers that the sacrifice of the soldiers has restored the nation. The sacrifice of the soldiers established the country, and it is also the sacrifice of the soldiers that made the status of the country.
"Since the Guangfu Uprising to the Sino-Japanese conflict, 423564 glorious Guangfu soldiers and guard soldiers have sacrificed their lives for the liberation of the nation and the status of the country. For soldiers, our citizens need to be grateful forever..."
When passing through the statue, although he could not understand Chinese, Marshall still knew the "Holy Oracle" under the statue. In Chinese history, there has never been any "Shengping Era" that would respect soldiers as much as it is now, to enhance the status of soldiers, and even do not hesitate to introduce special laws to protect soldiers. Status, and all this comes from the "soldier's emperor", who has a psychological frankness and trust in soldiers.
"The minister of Yin Gu is my strong army!"
Perhaps, thanks to this, the army is still the most trusted force of the royal family, and it has never lived up to the royal trust for many years. Many years ago, during the "Northwest Rebellion", the Congress or the political axe had been shaken, but the emperor firmly supported the suppression, and the army was a supporter of this policy. To be precise, the [***] team was a follower of the emperor's order. In order to support the emperor's decision to suppress, the army sent hundreds of thousands of troops at all costs. In the end, the army's bayonet changed everything.
In the process of going to education, the army sent troops to occupy the temple and changed the temple into a school or a Confucian school. At the same time, it also sent an army to protect schools and a Confucian school to directly protect young people to receive Confucian education. Even now, the army still unswervingly implements the strategy of de-education of that year, so as to finally reach the emperor. The "de-educational goal" mentioned by His Majesty.
The army supports the emperor, and the emperor trusts the army!
Thinking of the extremely special trust and interdependence between the army and the emperor in this oriental country, Marshall couldn't help sighing in his heart. Although the army with a reading status never interfered in government affairs on the surface, the army directly interfered in politics through the emperor himself, which may be the year. The emperor did it on purpose, and now it seems that this may also be a stable form of government.
The emperor himself relies on the support of the army, in an extremely detached existence above the parliament and the political axe, constantly balancing the power of the two, which to some extent maintains a certain stability of China's political situation, and at the same time makes China, a country with a thousand-year tradition of reading talent, Slowly get used to modern politics, and then complete the transformation from traditional politics to some kind of modern politics.
As many observers have said, no one imagined modern party politics in China twelve years ago, but now, party politics in China is being accepted by people. This change is steady and there is not much risk. For those politicians, in addition to arguing in Congress. There seems to be no other power, because the army that may affect the situation of the country is always firmly in the hands of the emperor.
But will politicians always succumb to this? Do you succumb to the situation that the army is only loyal to the emperor? As politicians continue to expand their influence and greed, all people have desires and become greedy with their desires. Politicians' desire for power has never stopped. In the past many years, there have been many political crises in China, and politicians can be seen every time. .
And every time, in the face of a political crisis, the emperor constantly releases power to ease the contradiction between the two, but is it possible to satisfy those politicians who think they are mature?
Obviously, it is unlikely that this gradual concession is not only impossible to satisfy them, but even make them worse. For politicians, Marshall knows very well that they will never be satisfied with what is in front of them, and they are eager for more power.
What will China look like in the future?
Will it be a constitutional monarchy like Britain?No!
Just as soon as such an idea came up, Marshall rejected the idea. After all, it is impossible for the emperor to completely give up power. Maybe he can use gradual changes to adapt the people to modern politics, but this does not mean that he will completely give up the supreme power he has.
When there is a fundamental conflict between politicians and the emperor, what kind of choice will the army make?
When thinking about this problem, Marshall felt a little unfounded. Now the stability of China's political situation is far beyond the imagination of the outside world, and more than two months ago, China just passed the social insurance law and began to establish a comprehensive social security mechanism, which stabilized the minds of workers to a certain extent, making Workers have expectations for the future without causing turmoil like Russia.
Just like Russia, if those politicians do not have the support of the workers, without the concerted action of workers and citizens against the tsar, and how can there be the later abdication of the tsar, the actions of politicians will always be limited to words, not practical actions, even if they want to launch any practical actions, but there is no With the support of the army, how can they launch what kind of practical actions?
"I'm really thinking a little more!"
Shake his head and sigh. Marshall is entering a misunderstanding. He is immersed in the current analysis of looking at the country through various aspects, which are often a little too self-righteous. Perhaps the observation report just written is the same.
"Maybe, you should be more cautious and observe for a while!"
(to be continued)