Chapter 684 Crisis and Change
However, just as both the Somali military and political sectors were preparing for the upcoming two foreign missions, the Ministry of Intelligence sent bad news.
From April to August, the 'Leyad Talks' have held many formal and informal negotiations for four months. For a long time, the 'Four-Nation Alliance' has shared external pressure because of the secret agreement. In the face of the tough attitude of some Western forces led by the United States and the two countries, the four-nation political axe is one With a united and uncompromising attitude, the other party did not dare to use force, so they had to try to solve the nuclear issue of the four countries by peaceful means again and again at the negotiating table.
And the message from the Ministry of Intelligence, Syrian President Bashar? Assad's attitude has changed recently, and it seems that he is not so tough in the face of pressure from the West.
Wang Ning was shocked when he got the news. He knew too well the important surname of the "four-nation alliance", that is, because of the existence of the "four-nation alliance", the United States and Israel did not dare to take action, because they did not guarantee that once they did it, they would face the counterattack of four countries that might have nuclear weapons. In addition, the unclear attitude of some international strength or swaying left and right is also the reason why the United States and other countries are unable to persuade Congress to use military means.
The consequences of military means are too dangerous and are temporarily excluded. Then political diplomacy has become the only means for countries that do not want the four countries to develop and possess nuclear weapons.
However, as we all know, political diplomacy is never isolated, and the economy and military are never separated from politics. Moreover, the diplomatic strategy is not only for a few people sitting at the negotiating table to discuss, but also involves the exchange and compromise of interests in all aspects.Obviously, Bashar? Assad's change in attitude is because he is secretly under pressure from some aspects or wants to compromise.
Among the 'Four-nation alliance', Syria's nuclear technology is the weakest, and its plan to develop nuclear weapons has gradually started with the help of North Korea. However, North Korea's own nuclear power is very weak. You can imagine how much 'deprecence' Syria's nuclear technology is. Moreover, the last Israeli Air Force raid plan destroyed an important nuclear base in Syria in one fell swoop, so that Syria's nuclear program had to be temporarily suspended. Although Syria's nuclear program is restarted with the help of the three countries because of its participation in the "four-nation alliance", it is at this time when the "nuclear issue of the four countries" is full of ups and downs, and the other three countries do not dare to blatantly provide nuclear aid to Syria.
It does not mean that the other three countries do not value Syria. On the contrary, the 'Four-nation Alliance' has resisted until now because of the unbreakable joint relationship between the four countries. If this alliance is broken, it will trigger a series of unpredictable reactions and consequences. If Syria unilaterally withdraws from the "Four Nations Alliance", it will greatly undermine the morale and courage of the other three countries to resist.
"So, Syrian President Bashar? Is the change in Assad's attitude related to the interference of the American political axe? Li Mo frowned and asked in a low voice.
"Yes, at the beginning of the month, U.S. Assistant Secretary of State Clooney and the French President's foreign affairs adviser Levitt both secretly went to Syria and Bashar? Assad held secret talks. This news is still kept secret from the outside world, and our people also got the information from the Iranian intelligence department. Wang Ning replied with a cold face.
Syria was once a French colony, and the relationship between the two is still good, just like the relationship between Somalia and Britain. France still has some influence in Syria.
Now I just don't know what benefits the political axes of the two countries have promised to let Bashar? Assad's attitude has changed, and he even planned to withdraw from the nuclear program. Li Mo believes that Bashar will not be unaware that once Syria withdraws from the 'four-nation alliance', there will be no chance to develop a nuclear program in the future. Next to it, there is Israel, which has hundreds of nuclear weapons, staring at it, and there are no supportive allies outside. Syria's nuclear program can only be terminated.
However, Li Mo is still very suspicious about this matter, mainly from the perspective of Assad's political axe in Syria and its geographical situation.
The Assad family is in Syria, which can be said to be the first family. From his father to Bashar? Assad came to power, and the father and son were in charge of Syria for more than 40 years. It is not an exaggeration to say that he was the king in the guise of the president.
Several Syrian-Israeli conflicts and Israel still occupy part of Syrian territory, leaving little room for easing between the two countries. However, after Bashar came to power, relations between Syria and Israel began to ease. The Syrian political axe no longer emphasized the direct counterattack against Israel by military means, but through the United Nations. Complaints and other peaceful means to solve the Syrian-Israeli issue, but secretly, Syria supports Lebanese and Palestinian militant groups, causing trouble for Israel.
Syria has a good relationship with France, and it is Russia's last ally in the Middle East. Whether Russia's political axe maintains its influence in the Middle East or for other reasons, it will not sit back and watch Assad's political axe fall to the West or step down.
Russia's ambiguous attitude on the 'four-nation nuclear issue', and it has to be said that there are some reasons for Syria. If Syria launches the 'Four-Nation Alliance', the first thing is to cause dissatisfaction and even hostility from Somalia, Iran and North Korea, because no one will continue to release goodwill to a 'traitor', and Russia will certainly not sit idly by in the face of Assad's political axe to the United States, which will lead to a series of bad As a consequence, Assad's political axe will not be able to see clearly unless it is completely turned to the West.
And the current domestic situation in Syria is not very stable, because the Assad family has held the throne of the Syrian president for a long time. This "feudal father-to-son" practice has long aroused the dissatisfaction of domestic forces. And according to some sources, Bashar? Assad intends to give up the presidency to a son after his resignation and continue to defend the 'Assad dynasty'.
Today's Bashar? Assad is only in his forties and is in his prime. However, the throne of the Syrian president has been 'booked' in the hands of his son. How will the forces and ordinary people in Syria feel?
There is never a shortage of ambitious and desireful people in this world. What is everyone in politics for? Perhaps some people want to make some favorable changes in the country and improve people's livelihood through their own efforts, but most of the politicians hope that they can reach the peak and become a person who attracts the attention of the world.
The Assad family's approach is bound to cause a lot of dissatisfaction. At this time, Bashar? Assad should not go to the Western world.
In the eyes of ordinary people, the United States and other Western countries are the 'pericks', the murderers who make wars and killings, while in the eyes of the United States and other Western countries, the Islamic world is a stubborn fortress, a poison that does not want to be completely integrated into the Western-dominated world system. If you want to fully integrate the Islamic world into the Western-dominated world system, you need to break the 'religious politics' here. It's better to be like Christianity and other religions, just a peaceful religion that is not involved in politics. In this way, it will definitely cause dissatisfaction in the Islamic world. Contradictions are difficult to resolve.
"Boss, you said Bashar? Is the reason for Assad's compromise for the Assad family to continue to rule Syria? The regimes of many countries in the Arab world are in the hands of one family. Influenced by Western culture, more and more people are dissatisfied with this kind of "reading talent" family governance of the country. Ordinary people and other party forces hope to dominate the country's politics. And Bashar? Assad may have received some kind of commitment. For example, the Western world no longer attacks the comrades of the Assad family, the words "reading talent" no longer appear in the media, and even let the Western media publicize the benefits of the Assad family leading Syria and create a favorable external environment for the Assad family to continue to comrades in Syria. "
Li Mo's heart moved when he heard the words, but this reason is very possible. Although Li Mo did not know that the crisis of 'anti-family rule' broke out in Syria and other countries in 2011, he can see the instability of the situation in some Arab countries from the various information collected by the intelligence services. The contradictions within many countries have been very sharp. As long as there is a fuse, it can trigger a greater crisis. .
And Bashar? If Assad wants to continue to maintain the rule of the family, it is necessary to get the support of the West. Because in the eyes of most ordinary people, the center of the world and the most clearest place are still Europe and the United States. Europe and the United States are leading the world trend, not only the influence of leisure fashion, culture and ideology, but also gradually playing a role.
What's more, similar to the rule of the Assad family, the disadvantages are obvious. It not only blocks the way of progress of a considerable number of people, but also because of the long-term control of state power and resources, corruption [***] breeding, all kinds of rotten atmosphere make people who have received modern education dissatisfied. Resistance is certain, and there is also a crisis.
"What's the attitude of Iran?" Li Mo asked after thinking about it.
Regardless of Bashar? For some reason, Assad's attitude has changed. It is true that you, Iran and North Korea should be prepared. It cannot be caught off guard by Syria's decision to withdraw.
Since Bashar? The change in Assad's attitude has been known by the Ministry of Intelligence, and Iran is even more clear. Maybe even North Korea knows. At this time, Li Mo wants to figure out how the two countries are going to deal with the next change.
"Not yet, but I think Iran is secretly preparing a big plan." Wang Ning thought for a thought and shook his head.
After receiving the news from the Iranian intelligence department, he reported it. He doesn't know the latest news yet.
"Oh? Secret to prepare a big plan? Li Mo asked curiously, but looking at Wang Ning's appearance, he also understood that Wang Ning really didn't know.
"You go back first and try to figure out the big plan of Iran." Li Mo knew that he couldn't ask anything again, so he ordered Wang Ning to leave.
"Qingqing, I'm going to make an appointment with the Iranian ambassador to Somalia in half an hour. Please inform me!" After Wang Ning left, Li Mo called Fan Qingqing in and ordered.
(to be continued)